“If the Ukrainians succeed in doing this, they may be able to score a decisive victory. If not, the war will settle back into a stalemate, with neither side able to force a military decision.” (Thomas Gregg)
The Ukrainians need a decisive victory now. A stalemate is not sustainable because Americans and Europeans are losing patience with the status quo. Given the total dependence of Ukraine on Western supplied arms, once the Western public tires of underwriting the conflict, absent a major victory (or something that can be spun as a major victory) Ukraine’s goose will be cooked.
Before the cold weather reappears, we need to pray that Ukraine achieves some major victories. If not, things could deteriorate quickly and a Chinese-brokered cease fire can be expected.
Thomas, this is as usual excellent. Would you allow us to republish it at CG? I think our readers would find it valuable.
“If the Ukrainians succeed in doing this, they may be able to score a decisive victory. If not, the war will settle back into a stalemate, with neither side able to force a military decision.” (Thomas Gregg)
The Ukrainians need a decisive victory now. A stalemate is not sustainable because Americans and Europeans are losing patience with the status quo. Given the total dependence of Ukraine on Western supplied arms, once the Western public tires of underwriting the conflict, absent a major victory (or something that can be spun as a major victory) Ukraine’s goose will be cooked.
Before the cold weather reappears, we need to pray that Ukraine achieves some major victories. If not, things could deteriorate quickly and a Chinese-brokered cease fire can be expected.